Racing Montevideo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAC
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 3
JUN
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CSC
0 - 0
RAC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 1
LFC
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
RAC
72%
19%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
DEF
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
PEÑ
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 3
PEÑ
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ETS
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAL
4 - 0
PEÑ
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |