Racing Montevideo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
RAC
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 1
LFC
43%
26%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
REN
0 - 0
RAC
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 0
DAN
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
SUD
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ETS
1 - 1
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 3
CER
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |