Racing Montevideo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
RAC
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 3
RIV
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
RAC
3 - 3
MWA
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ETS
2 - 2
RAC
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 2
DAN
39%
27%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
NAC
26%
24%
50%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAF
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAF
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |