Racing Montevideo vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
61%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 2
RAC
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 1
CCP
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DAN
2 - 3
RAC
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 3
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
61%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
COR
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
JUN
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
QUI
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |