Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-3
Racing Montevideo vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
MWA
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HUA
2 - 3
RAC
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 1
RAC
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 2
RAC
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 1
COB
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HUA
2 - 3
RAC
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
NUB
3 - 0
HUA
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
HUA
0 - 1
GRE
21%
26%
54%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
EST
3 - 4
HUA
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |