Racing Montevideo vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
6º
4º
6
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 14 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 11 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 11 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 11 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 11 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
6 | 10 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 7 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
7.5% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 3
RAC
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
COR
3 - 0
RAC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
BOS
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 1
RAC
35%
27%
37%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FEN
0 - 1
PEÑ
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
FEN
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
PRO
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 4
FEN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FEN
0 - 2
DEF
30%
28%
43%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |