Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
RAC
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 0
PRO
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FEN
2 - 0
RAC
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
RAC
1 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
4 - 1
RAC
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
MWA
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LFC
6 - 2
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 4
JUV
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 0
DEF
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |