Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 2
RAC
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 0
TAC
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MWA
2 - 3
RAC
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 3
RAC
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TAC
1 - 4
DEF
30%
27%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CER
0 - 3
DEF
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
PEÑ
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
3 - 4
DEF
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |