Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 0
FEN
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 2
MWA
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
RAC
2 - 2
PEÑ
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAC
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 3
JUN
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
REN
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LFC
2 - 3
DEF
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 1
FEN
59%
22%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
DEF
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 1
CSC
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |