Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 2
BVS
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 1
RAC
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 1
RAC
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 2
MWA
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
5 - 1
FEN
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
4 - 1
JUN
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
IND
4 - 2
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 1
ETS
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |