Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DAN
2 - 3
RAC
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 3
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CSC
3 - 0
RAC
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 2
FEN
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
AME
1 - 2
CCP
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 2
CCP
39%
26%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CCP
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
CCP
3 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SPT
1 - 2
CCP
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |