Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
DEF
38%
28%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 1
RAC
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 2
LFC
36%
28%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
RAC
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 1
CER
53%
26%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 2
CEL
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 0
FEN
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 2
PEÑ
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
DEP
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOS
0 - 1
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |