Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-2
Racing Ferrol vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
RCF
3 - 0
RUN
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CDO
1 - 0
RCF
76%
17%
7%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
RCF
1 - 1
ARO
77%
17%
6%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
CAU
3 - 0
RCF
53%
29%
18%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
RCF
2 - 0
CDO
36%
28%
36%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
IBI
2 - 2
VIL
49%
28%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
VIL
0 - 0
ALM
82%
13%
4%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
VIL
3 - 1
ELD
49%
30%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +3 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
OLI
1 - 1
VIL
69%
21%
11%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIN
54%
27%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |