Racing Ferrol vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
AVI
0 - 1
RCF
43%
22%
35%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
RCF
2 - 3
RUN
55%
20%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
RCF
4 - 0
SLA
54%
21%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ORI
2 - 3
RCF
41%
22%
37%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
RCF
5 - 0
AVI
72%
15%
13%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
RUN
1 - 5
SPO
52%
22%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
SPO
1 - 3
DEP
66%
18%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
SPO
1 - 1
RAC
34%
22%
45%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1940 |
RAC
3 - 0
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
SPO
4 - 1
MON
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 7 | 53 | 0 |