Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
RCF
4 - 0
SLA
54%
21%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ORI
2 - 3
RCF
41%
22%
37%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
RCF
5 - 0
AVI
72%
15%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
DEP
1 - 0
RCF
62%
18%
20%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
RCF
1 - 1
SPO
39%
23%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
OSA
4 - 1
RUN
83%
10%
7%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
RUN
2 - 5
RSO
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 3
RUN
60%
19%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
RUN
3 - 2
ARE
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ALA
3 - 2
RUN
60%
19%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |