Racing Ferrol vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ELC
1 - 1
RCF
34%
24%
41%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
SPO
2 - 2
RCF
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
RCF
2 - 2
CEL
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
UPL
3 - 2
RCF
44%
26%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
RCF
3 - 0
BUR
64%
20%
15%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
MUR
2 - 2
BET
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
ALC
2 - 1
MUR
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAD
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1968 |
LEV
2 - 2
MUR
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
MUR
1 - 0
PUE
46%
29%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |