Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-7
Racing Ferrol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
RMA
4 - 1
RCF
83%
10%
6%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
RAC
2 - 2
RCF
72%
15%
12%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
RCF
0 - 1
DEP
46%
23%
31%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
RCF
1 - 0
ZAR
49%
23%
27%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
RCD
3 - 0
RCF
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
RMA
4 - 1
RCF
83%
10%
6%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
RMA
6 - 0
CEL
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
ATM
3 - 1
RMA
55%
21%
24%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
26%
27%
48%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
RMA
1 - 0
ALC
87%
8%
5%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |