Racing Ferrol vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
VAD
0 - 1
RCF
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
EUR
2 - 0
RCF
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
RCF
0 - 0
CEL
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
RAC
1 - 0
RCF
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
RCF
2 - 1
PUE
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
RAY
6 - 0
UPL
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
REC
2 - 2
RAY
55%
23%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SDI
2 - 1
RAY
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
RAY
2 - 1
GIM
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
RSO
1 - 0
RAY
70%
17%
12%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |