Racing Ferrol vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
VAD
3 - 2
RCF
81%
12%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
RCF
1 - 1
AVI
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
GIR
2 - 1
RCF
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
RCF
3 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
EXT
4 - 1
RCF
56%
20%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1959 |
CDC
1 - 0
RAY
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
RAY
2 - 1
VAD
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
AVI
2 - 1
RAY
71%
17%
13%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
RAY
7 - 1
GIR
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
RAY
1 - 1
HER
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |