Racing Ferrol vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
RCF
2 - 1
LOG
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
RCF
3 - 0
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
SAB
1 - 0
RCF
78%
13%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
OVI
5 - 1
RCF
79%
13%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
RCF
2 - 1
AVI
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
RAY
1 - 2
GIR
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
RAY
2 - 0
SAB
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
LOG
1 - 2
RAY
62%
19%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
2 - 0
RAY
66%
19%
16%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
RAY
1 - 0
OVI
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |