Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
Racing Ferrol vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
ARE
3 - 1
RCF
43%
31%
26%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
RCF
2 - 0
ATH
54%
27%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
LPA
2 - 2
RCF
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
RCF
0 - 1
ATB
51%
28%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
CDT
1 - 0
RCF
73%
19%
9%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PON
1 - 0
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
DEP
3 - 4
PON
55%
25%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
PON
1 - 1
LUG
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
SIE
1 - 1
PON
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
PON
2 - 3
SMA
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |