Racing Ferrol vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SPO
2 - 2
RCF
76%
13%
11%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
RCF
3 - 4
OSA
71%
15%
14%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SGL
0 - 1
RCF
42%
20%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SAB
5 - 1
RCF
76%
13%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BAD
4 - 2
RCF
52%
19%
29%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 1
RAC
28%
24%
48%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 2
NUM
80%
12%
8%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
OSA
4 - 2
NUM
85%
9%
5%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SPO
9 - 0
NUM
90%
7%
3%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
NUM
3 - 2
OSA
48%
21%
31%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |