Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
Racing Ferrol vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
25.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ARO
0 - 0
RCF
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
LEG
7 - 0
RCF
66%
22%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
RCF
0 - 0
UPL
47%
28%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
AVI
1 - 1
RCF
67%
22%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
RCF
0 - 0
COL
53%
28%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
LUG
1 - 1
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
ASP
1 - 1
LUG
50%
28%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
55%
26%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
ARO
2 - 2
LUG
43%
30%
27%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
LUG
2 - 0
CDO
50%
30%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |