Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 7-3
Racing Ferrol vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
GIN
1 - 1
RCF
22%
28%
50%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
RCF
1 - 0
RAC
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
LUG
1 - 2
RCF
38%
29%
33%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
RCF
2 - 2
PON
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
SIE
0 - 2
RCF
34%
29%
37%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
LUG
4 - 0
ZAM
44%
29%
28%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
LEM
1 - 1
LUG
64%
24%
12%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
LUG
1 - 2
RCF
38%
29%
33%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
ATH
2 - 0
LUG
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
LUG
1 - 1
CDO
33%
32%
35%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |