Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-3
Racing Ferrol vs Lalín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
VIL
1 - 0
RCF
38%
28%
34%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
RCF
1 - 1
ORD
75%
18%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
DEP
3 - 0
RCF
47%
26%
27%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
CEL
1 - 1
RCF
34%
28%
38%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
RCF
2 - 0
SPO
74%
19%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lalín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
LEM
0 - 0
LAL
14%
26%
60%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
LAL
8 - 0
ARO
77%
17%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
VIL
0 - 1
LAL
28%
28%
45%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
LAL
2 - 0
ORD
78%
16%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
DEP
2 - 2
LAL
36%
27%
36%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |