Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Racing Ferrol vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
IZA
2 - 1
RCF
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
RCF
2 - 0
BIN
75%
15%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BIN
1 - 0
RCF
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
RCF
0 - 0
ALO
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BER
1 - 1
RCF
13%
23%
65%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
IZA
2 - 1
RCF
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
IZA
2 - 0
HAR
22%
22%
57%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +4 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 2
IZA
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
IZA
0 - 0
CFP
16%
23%
61%
|
18 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
CFP
2 - 1
IZA
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 55 | 37 | 0 |