Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-4
Racing Ferrol vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
EIR
3 - 0
RCF
31%
23%
47%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
RCF
2 - 1
AVI
74%
15%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
USC
4 - 0
RCF
51%
22%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
AVI
2 - 1
RCF
38%
23%
39%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
RCF
3 - 1
EIR
82%
11%
7%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
LEV
0 - 4
HER
27%
22%
51%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
GIM
2 - 2
HER
22%
22%
57%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
HER
4 - 1
ELC
68%
17%
15%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
HER
7 - 2
GIM
85%
9%
5%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
ELC
2 - 3
HER
55%
21%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |