Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-1
Racing Ferrol vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1970 |
ELC
1 - 1
RCF
72%
16%
11%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
RCF
0 - 2
BET
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
UES
2 - 0
RCF
27%
29%
43%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
RCF
0 - 0
ONT
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
PUE
1 - 2
RCF
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1970 |
ELC
1 - 1
RCF
72%
16%
11%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
ELC
1 - 0
FCB
33%
30%
37%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
ZAR
3 - 2
ELC
63%
21%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
ELC
1 - 0
GRA
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
MLL
0 - 0
ELC
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |