Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-6
Racing Ferrol vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
RCF
4 - 1
SPO
53%
20%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
SGL
0 - 3
RCF
22%
19%
59%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
RCF
2 - 1
HER
52%
20%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
DEP
2 - 0
RCF
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
RCD
1 - 3
RCF
42%
24%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
CEL
5 - 2
VCF
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 1
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
CEL
4 - 1
ATM
54%
20%
25%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
SEV
3 - 1
CEL
68%
17%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
CEL
3 - 2
SPO
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |