Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 0-1
Racing Ferrol vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
VAD
7 - 1
RCF
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
RCF
0 - 1
RMC
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
MAL
0 - 0
RCF
71%
17%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 0
RCF
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
RCF
2 - 1
CAS
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
DEP
1 - 1
MAL
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALA
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
MAL
0 - 0
RCF
71%
17%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
SAB
1 - 0
MAL
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
MAL
2 - 1
BAR
59%
25%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |