Racing Ferrol vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
HER
3 - 2
RCF
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
RCF
3 - 1
LEV
54%
21%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
MLL
5 - 1
RCF
52%
23%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
RCF
1 - 1
BET
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
RSO
2 - 1
RCF
72%
15%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
MAL
0 - 0
RCD
46%
24%
31%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
MAL
3 - 0
RAC
40%
22%
38%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
HER
1 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
MAL
1 - 1
LEV
50%
22%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
MLL
2 - 0
MAL
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |