Racing Ferrol vs Bergantiños FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 0
RCF
16%
24%
61%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
RCF
1 - 1
ORD
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ASP
1 - 2
RCF
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
RCF
0 - 0
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
RCF
1 - 1
IZA
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BER
2 - 0
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CER
1 - 0
BER
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 0
BER
34%
27%
40%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BER
3 - 0
ORD
38%
27%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BER
1 - 1
RCF
13%
23%
65%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |