Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-5
Racing Ferrol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
RCF
2 - 0
ALA
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
ALA
1 - 1
RCF
77%
14%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
ATH
7 - 1
CEL
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
CEL
2 - 1
ATH
49%
22%
28%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
RAC
2 - 0
ATH
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
ATH
0 - 0
ALA
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |