Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
Racing Ferrol vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
RCF
2 - 2
DEP
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ALA
4 - 1
RCF
64%
23%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
ARO
2 - 1
RCF
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
RCF
0 - 0
SAB
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
BAR
1 - 1
RCF
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ARO
0 - 1
COM
35%
31%
35%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
TUR
3 - 0
ARO
59%
25%
16%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
ARO
2 - 1
RCF
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ARO
4 - 2
SIE
58%
26%
17%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARO
64%
23%
13%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |