Racing Ferrol vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
4.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
RCF
3 - 2
SGL
84%
10%
6%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
RAC
2 - 0
RCF
64%
17%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
RCF
1 - 5
MAL
51%
23%
27%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
CAS
3 - 2
RCF
59%
20%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
HER
0 - 1
RCF
67%
17%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
ARO
1 - 4
RAC
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
NUM
4 - 1
ARO
67%
16%
16%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -3 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
JUV
0 - 2
ARO
54%
19%
26%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
ARO
1 - 0
POP
63%
18%
19%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
RJU
3 - 1
ARO
52%
20%
28%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |