Racing Ferrol vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
CAS
3 - 0
RCF
70%
20%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
RCF
0 - 4
CAD
35%
30%
35%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
RCF
0 - 2
BET
32%
31%
37%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
TER
6 - 1
RCF
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
RCF
1 - 0
OSA
40%
30%
30%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
ALM
2 - 1
BET
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
TER
1 - 3
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
ALM
3 - 0
OSA
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
RJA
2 - 2
ALM
42%
29%
30%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
ALM
3 - 0
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |