Racing Ferrol vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
BUR
3 - 4
RCF
41%
22%
37%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
RCF
2 - 0
CAU
59%
20%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
RCF
2 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
UES
2 - 4
RCF
73%
14%
13%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
SAB
0 - 1
RCF
69%
16%
15%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ALA
2 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
UES
0 - 1
ALA
67%
16%
16%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ALA
3 - 0
SAB
63%
19%
18%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
CDC
2 - 0
ALA
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
ALA
5 - 1
AVI
61%
20%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |