RC Calais vs US Pays de Cassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
68.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+680%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
13º
12º
17
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 48 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 43 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 42 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 37 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 31 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 25 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 21 |
14º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
67.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
RCC
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RCC
1 - 1
DRA
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
RCC
84%
11%
6%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RCC
1 - 1
VIM
13%
18%
70%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
REI
2 - 1
RCC
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
US Pays de Cassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LPV
3 - 3
PDC
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PDC
0 - 0
SAN
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DRA
2 - 1
PDC
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PDC
1 - 1
VAL
57%
20%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIM
3 - 4
PDC
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |