RC Calais vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
67.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+306%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
11º
14º
14º
5
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 52 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 49 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 45 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 41 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 37 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 37 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 15 |
14º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 57% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
97% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
RCC
84%
11%
6%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RCC
1 - 1
VIM
13%
18%
70%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
REI
2 - 1
RCC
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
RCC
1 - 4
CAE
4%
9%
87%
|
8 | 65 | 57 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RCC
2 - 1
LON
13%
17%
70%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DRA
2 - 1
PDC
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
DRA
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LPV
2 - 0
DRA
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 1
LPV
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COM
2 - 2
DRA
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |