Racing Club vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RAC
2 - 3
BEL
52%
26%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BOC
0 - 0
RAC
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 0
ARG
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
RAC
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 1
LAN
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
TAL
0 - 0
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
EXC
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
POR
5 - 1
MID
33%
28%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LAF
3 - 2
POR
60%
24%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |