Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Racing Club vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1997 |
ESP
0 - 2
RAC
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1997 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
RAC
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1997 |
RAC
2 - 0
CAH
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
HUR
2 - 2
RAC
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
RAC
2 - 0
SLO
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1997 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
RAC
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1997 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
MIL
2 - 0
PEÑ
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1997 |
PEÑ
4 - 3
CAL
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1997 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |