Racing Club vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 3
RAC
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
RAC
0 - 2
CAU
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
RAC
1 - 1
UNI
68%
21%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 5
RAC
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
RAC
2 - 2
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
CSM
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
NAC
3 - 0
OPE
67%
19%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 0
MWA
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 0
UNI
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
PLA
0 - 1
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |