Racing Club vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
7.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1962 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAC
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1962 |
SPC
2 - 1
RAC
42%
23%
36%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
RAC
2 - 1
SPC
79%
13%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
RAC
6 - 2
CEN
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
RAC
1 - 1
IND
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1962 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAC
61%
19%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1962 |
SPC
0 - 1
NAC
56%
21%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1962 |
NAC
3 - 2
SPC
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |