Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-1
Racing Club vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
RAC
4 - 3
HUR
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ATT
1 - 1
RAC
33%
26%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
IND
0 - 3
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAU
1 - 0
RAC
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ENV
1 - 1
AGU
44%
29%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
MIL
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
AGU
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
AGU
47%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |