Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-5
Racing Club vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 1
RAC
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
RAC
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 0
IND
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ARG
0 - 2
RAC
44%
30%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 1
RAC
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
COL
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
RAC
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 2
BEL
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 1
COL
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
LAN
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |