Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-4
Racing Club vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 3
SLO
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
RAC
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
RAC
3 - 0
CAU
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 1
RAC
41%
29%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 0
BOC
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 1
LAN
40%
27%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
3 - 0
BEL
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
SLO
2 - 2
LAN
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
LAN
39%
29%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
LAN
5 - 1
RIV
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |