Racing Club vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
TAL
2 - 0
RAC
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
RAC
2 - 2
LAN
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RAC
1 - 2
BAN
57%
25%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
RAC
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
RAC
1 - 4
BOC
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 0
RAF
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
VEL
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 1
RAF
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
RAF
4 - 0
GLP
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |