Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Racing Club vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 0
RAC
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 0
RAC
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
BOC
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
ATT
1 - 0
RAC
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 0
IND
52%
26%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
CRI
0 - 0
ATP
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 0
RAC
56%
23%
22%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
2 - 1
VAS
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
0 - 2
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |