Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
First-leg 0-1
Racing Club vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 0
RAC
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
BOC
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
ATT
1 - 0
RAC
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 0
IND
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
6 - 1
HUA
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 0
RAC
56%
23%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
2 - 1
VAS
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ATP
0 - 2
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATP
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |