Racing Castrelos vs Cambados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PON
7 - 0
CAS
75%
15%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
POR
21%
21%
57%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VER
5 - 0
CAS
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDV
2 - 2
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cambados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 2
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 2
CAM
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 2
PON
54%
23%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARN
0 - 0
CAM
68%
18%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |