Racing Castrelos vs Umia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 0
CAS
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
MOR
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
CAS
30%
23%
47%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 2
MAR
41%
23%
37%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ADR
1 - 0
CAS
42%
24%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UMI
1 - 1
CUN
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 3
UMI
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UMI
4 - 3
TYD
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
UMI
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UMI
3 - 2
MIN
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |